GlobeSt.Com today had an interested article on China’s role in the demand for industrial space in the US. The gist of the article is that China’s economy and production is slowing to the point where it might have an effect on the US industrial market. The author points out that many of the industrial REITs have made big bets in port markets and those bets may not do as well as previously expected. One of the important things to note is that we are talking about a shift from 35% growth to 23% growth. By any measure, that is still tremendous growth and a trend worth paying attention to.
However, the growth is projected to slow and the author is correct that this slow down may have an effect on demand. However, it just goes to further emphasize the importance of picking the right locations. When the demand does decrease, it will certainly not decrease proportionally across all port markets. Some will be much harder hit than others. As an example, just look at Maersk’s recent decision to leave Charleston in 2010. Bad news for Charleston, but great news for other markets which will benefit from Maersk redirecting that traffic. Norfolk and Savannah should both profit from the decision.
Again, making wise investment decisions is the key here. Any box in any port industrial market won’t get the job done anymore.
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