In a further sign of the distress apparent in the bonds markets, the yield curve for US Treasuries moved to its steepest level in recorded history yesterday. The spread between 2-year and 10-year notes breached 275 basis points. The sharp increase in yields seems to be a result of concerns over the levels of debt the US government is incurring and how they will fund the spending. According to a CNBC article,
With $2 trillion or more in issuance seen coming to market this year alone, some dealers were looking for a sharp readjustment in bond rates—which effectively reflect the cost to government of financing its borrowing.
The treasury did experience good demand for yesterday’s auction of $35 billion of 5-year notes. However, strong demand for shorter term notes indicates a lack of demand for longer term issuance’s. These are the ones that typically finance many of the municipal projects that provides the local services we, as taxpayers, demand. In addition, the increase in longer term rates has a profound effect on mortgage rates, driving them up further. This could serve to slow the improvements in the housing market, a sector which the US badly needs to improve in order to pull it from this recession.
While the debt markets may not be the most exciting thing to watch, they are extremely important to health and well being of our economy.
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