Archive for July, 2009

Wednesday’s Treasury auction could signal tough times for US borrowing

Wednesday’s $39 billion auction of 5-year Treasury notes was met with very poor demand and could drive interest rates higher for America’s increasing deficit. Two metric stood out as harbingers of disappointing results. First, the bid-to-cover ratio came in at only 1.92. This represents the lowest value for this metric in over a year and is an indicator of general investor malaise. Second, the yields for the notes came in unexpectedly higher. This would indicate that the buyers were in the position of strength in the pricing negotiations. Never a good sign if you have a vested interest in the seller, which we all do.

“It was just a horrendous result,” said William O’Donnell, head of U.S. Treasury strategy at RBS Securities in Greenwich, Connecticut. – as reported by cnbc.com

It is anticipated that today’s (Thursday) auction of $28 billion of 7-year notes could be met with equally week demand. Overall, the lack of demand and pricing ability for Treasury notes could mean that the cost of borrowing increases significantly for the US. It appears to also be a clear sign from our largest foreign and domestic lenders that we need to throttle back on our levels of debt.

Moreland Property Group launches its ABA Lease Review Program

Richmond, Virginia, July 21, 2009 – Moreland Property Group, Inc. (MPG) announces its ABA (“Audit, Benchmark, Act”) Lease Analysis Program as an expansion of its asset management and advisory services. The ABA program is designed to identify and recover lost value in the lease agreement and provide landlords, tenants and banks with a complete picture of how their asset and lease compares to the market and identify future profit opportunities and cost savings… more

MSC upgrades service to larger ships, bypasses Panama Canal

Continuing the trend toward larger, more efficient ships, MSC announced that they were changing their Far East-US Golden Gate service to nine ships of 6,700 TEU’s each. These nine vessels will replace the ten 5,000 TEU ships that had previously operated in the service. This also converts the service from a round the world service to one that transits the Suez Canal each way because the new ships are too large for the Panama Canal.

Want a solution to the Highway Trust Fund? Repeal the Jones Act

As you are probably aware, the Highway Trust Fund (HTF) will run out funds this August.  The Obama administration has asked for an 18 month extension of the program until it can figure out a new solution.  I suspect that the administration will get the extension and the HTF will continue to be funded for at least 18 more months.  This brings up the bigger question of what is the “right” answer.

Revenues from the gas tax which have traditionally funded the HTF have declined significantly.  There are a number of factors behind this including more fuel efficient vehicles, $4.00/gal gas last summer, and the overall downturn of the economy.  Regardless of the reason, it seems clear that relying on the gas tax is not a long term solution.

There have been a number of solutions tossed out there in the past few weeks including “per mile” taxes to capture revenue from fuel efficient drivers to levying additional taxes on the heavy users (trucks, rail, etc.).  While these solutions, and some of the others that have been proposed, do work at attacking the symptoms, none really address the illness.

What I haven’t heard proposed and talked about is a concerted effort to increase short-sea shipping in the US.  We know from other countries in the world that short-sea shipping works and it certainly would work to move more trucks off the road.  More trucks off the road mean less wear and tear of our highway system and less congestion on the roadways.

One significant hurdle to increasing our use of short-sea shipping is the Merchant Marine Act of 1920, otherwise known as the Jones Act.  This 89 year old law restricts the carriage of goods and personnel between US ports to US built and flagged vessels.  In addition, 75% of the crew must also be US citizens.  In 1920, I am sure this law made good sense.  It protected what was a large US industry and secured our shores from an uncertain political environment.

However, 89 years later, the law is financially punitive to an idea that could have a tremendous positive economic impact for the US.  If we allow foreign operators to run a “shuttle” services between US ports, you could have a low cost method for moving goods up and down the coasts.  Lower transportation costs would mean lower prices on the store shelves and more money in the consumer’s pocket.  In addition, the highways would be safer and would require less maintenance.

It seems like an easy, low cost way to work towards a solution to the HTF.  Certainly, it would be one piece in a complex puzzle, but it’s a start.